ERBIL, Kurdistan Region of Iraq – A Hezbollah official on Wednesday said that the group’s position “will be to not intervene militarily in the event of limited United States strikes on Iran,” though clarifying that any offensive targeting Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei or seeking to topple the government would be considered a “red line.”
Speaking on the condition of anonymity, the Hezbollah commander told AFP that the group would take military action if they perceived a US attempt to “provoke the downfall of the Iranian regime or to target the supreme leader.”
The official predicted that if the US tried to topple the Iranian government, its ally Israel would “inevitably wage a war against Lebanon.”
On Sunday, Omani Foreign Minister Badr al-Busaidi confirmed that the next round of US-Iran nuclear negotiations will be held in Geneva on Thursday, saying they come “with a positive push to go the extra mile towards finalizing the deal.”
The talks, which will be the third round of a dialogue that resumed in early February, come amid a large-scale buildup of the US military presence in the Middle East, raising fears of a prospective military intervention against Iran.
Hezbollah, a key regional ally of Iran, has seen its military capabilities reduced following an extensive Israeli campaign targeting its leadership and infrastructure, neutering to an extent the so-called "Axis of Resistance's" capacity to assist Tehran in the event of a full-fledged conflict.
US President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that Washington is negotiating with Tehran because it wants to make a deal, but, “They want to make a deal, but we haven’t heard those secret words: ‘We will never have a nuclear weapon.’”
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on Tuesday said that Tehran is seeking to reach a nuclear agreement with Washington “in the shortest possible time,” but that progress would depend on addressing “mutual interests.”
Despite the renewed talks, Trump has repeatedly threatened to intervene in Iran once again. The US president gave Iran a 10-day ultimatum to reach a nuclear deal on Thursday, warning that “really bad things” could happen if Tehran fails to reach a meaningful agreement.
Lebanon's Foreign Minister Youssef Rajji shared on Tuesday that the government is worried Israel might target civilian infrastructure if Hezbollah — which still holds a stockpile of ballistic missiles — gets pulled into a wider conflict between the US and Iran.
A Lebanese official described the situation to AFP as a dangerous domino effect: “What the Lebanese fear is a chain reaction: an American strike against Iran, a Hezbollah retaliatory strike against Israel, followed by a massive Israeli response.”
Hezbollah did not join the 12-day conflict between Israel and Iran last June, which eventually drew in the United States. The group emerged from that period in a weakened state, following more than a year of war with Israel which a November 2024 ceasefire was intended to end.
Despite that truce, Israel has carried out near-daily strikes against what it identifies as Hezbollah-linked targets, characterizing the attacks as enforcement of ceasefire rules against rearmament.
Hezbollah and Lebanese officials, as well as the international community, have countered that these strikes are themselves violations of the agreement.